GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

BSC Young Boys are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Lyon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lyon

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSC Young BoysLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LyonWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BSC Young BoysLyon
33.3Attack80.6
33.3Defence55.6
16.7Form61.1
31.3Power65.3
1.18xG2.55
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