BSC Young Boysvs
Lyon
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 1/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
BSC Young Boys are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Lyon are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyon hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 65.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Lyon holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyon
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Lyon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80