GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BSC Young Boys are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ludogorets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSC Young BoysLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsDDLWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BSC Young BoysLudogorets
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence41.7
16.7Form50.0
31.3Power51.9
1.45xG1.72
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