BSC Young Boysvs
Lille
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
BSC Young Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lille are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lille hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80