GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

BSC Young Boys are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lille are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lille hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSC Young BoysLDLWW

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LilleWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BSC Young BoysLille
33.3Attack36.1
33.3Defence63.9
16.7Form41.7
31.3Power48.5
1.01xG1.09
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