GGOALVIO

Switzerland · Super League · 8/5/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

BSC Young Boys are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Winterthur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and BSC Young Boys hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (75.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.3% in the Super League, while BSC Young Boys holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BSC Young Boys

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

62.3%

BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BSC Young BoysDWWWD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FC WinterthurLDWWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
BSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
100.0Attack52.6
55.6Defence37.7
77.8Form43.0
75.0Power46.7
2.70xG1.32
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