BSC Young Boysvs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 10/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSC Young Boys 2-0 FC ST. Gallen
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 52.1% | 57.0% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 22.1% | 20.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.8% | 22.8% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60