BSC Young Boysvs
FC Luzern
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSC Young Boys 3-3 FC Luzern
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 63.4% | 61.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 19.0% | 19.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.30 | 17.5% | 19.4% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80