BSC Young Boysvs
FC Basel 1893
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BSC Young Boys · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
BSC Young Boys 3-3 FC Basel 1893
Original prediction
BSC Young Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 59.2% | 47.5% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 21.1% | 23.7% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.7% | 28.8% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
BSC Young Boys
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
BSC Young Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 20 · GA 6 · avg 4.00/1.20
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00