Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kolbotn W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bryne W 1-0 Kolbotn W
Original prediction
Kolbotn W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 31.9% | 36.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.9% | 27.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.2% | 36.5% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Kolbotn W
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Kolbotn W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Bryne WWLWLL
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Kolbotn WWDLLL
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bryne WKolbotn W
42.6Attack51.0
40.7Defence31.4
37.0Form35.3
40.5Power39.7
1.91xG1.67