Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bryne 2-0 Stabaek
Original prediction
Stabaek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.95 | 31.3% | 24.3% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.2% | 23.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.5% | 52.0% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BryneLLWWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
StabaekLLWWW
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BryneStabaek
41.3Attack87.3
50.8Defence58.7
46.0Form66.7
48.1Power69.2
1.05xG2.48