Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bryne 1-1 Raufoss
Original prediction
Bryne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.0% | 66.0% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.88 | 15.7% | 18.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 8.89 | 10.4% | 15.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BryneLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RaufossLLLWW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BryneRaufoss
45.3Attack37.5
56.0Defence12.5
50.7Form26.4
52.0Power28.2
2.71xG0.86