Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bryne 0-2 Haugesund
Original prediction
Haugesund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.4% | 32.3% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.4% | 19.9% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 38.2% | 47.8% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BryneWWWLW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HaugesundWLWWL
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BryneHaugesund
45.6Attack100.0
52.6Defence36.8
50.9Form70.2
51.6Power67.3
1.80xG2.36