Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bryne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bryne 3-3 Egersund
Original prediction
Bryne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.2% | 50.5% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.2% | 23.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.6% | 26.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Bryne
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Bryne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BryneLDLWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EgersundDDWLL
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BryneEgersund
45.7Attack51.9
53.1Defence34.6
48.1Form42.0
50.4Power43.6
1.99xG1.33