Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brusque 1-1 Paysandu
Original prediction
Brusque
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 39.3% | 46.8% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.6% | 26.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.1% | 26.8% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrusqueDDLDW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
PaysanduWLDLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrusquePaysandu
51.4Attack41.7
56.9Defence52.8
52.8Form45.8
56.0Power48.9
1.59xG0.96