Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Brusque are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Confiança are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.7% in the Serie C, while Brusque holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
22.7%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80