Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Brusque are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Caxias are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00