Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Brusque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Anápolis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Brusque hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Serie C, while Brusque holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60