Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brusque · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
16%
HighconfidenceBrusque are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Amazonas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and brusque hold a 8.6-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Serie C, favouring Brusque with 16.4% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brusque
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
16.4%
Brusque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrusqueLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AmazonasWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
BrusqueAmazonas
45.8Attack37.5
64.6Defence58.3
56.3Form47.9
57.6Power49.0
1.26xG0.71