Brunswick Cityvs
Melbourne Srbija
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brunswick City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brunswick City 0-2 Melbourne Srbija
Original prediction
Brunswick City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.3% | 39.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.4% | 23.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.3% | 36.6% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Brunswick City
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Brunswick City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60