Brumunddalvs
Sandefjord II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 6 · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sandefjord II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 2-4 (7%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brumunddal 1-2 Sandefjord II
Original prediction
Sandefjord II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.87 | 15.3% | 13.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.91 | 15.3% | 12.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.30 | 69.4% | 74.0% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.2–47%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Sandefjord II
Probability
74.0%
Model confidence
74.0%
Sandefjord II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 23 · avg 1.40/4.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60