Bærumvs
Nordstrand
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bærum 1-0 Nordstrand
Original prediction
Bærum
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 80.6% | 64.6% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.52 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 12.38 | 7.3% | 17.2% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–18%
- 2.5–17%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BærumDWWLW
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordstrandLLLWL
GF 11 · GA 19 · avg 2.20/3.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BærumNordstrand
97.3Attack83.3
48.0Defence0.0
61.3Form0.0
65.8Power29.8
4.50xG1.75