Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bærum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bærum 1-2 IF Ready
Original prediction
Bærum
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.1% | 39.3% | -19.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.72 | 19.2% | 23.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.7% | 37.4% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Bærum
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Bærum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BærumLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF ReadyLWWLL
GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BærumIF Ready
0.0Attack88.9
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form44.4
15.3Power54.9
2.08xG2.63