Brown DE Adroguevs
San Martín Burzaco
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 9/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 San Martín Burzaco, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Brown DE Adrogue 0-2 San Martín Burzaco
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.0% | 31.6% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.5% | 36.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.6% | 31.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 San Martín Burzaco
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20