GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Brown DE Adrogue are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Real Pilar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.9% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

29.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brown DE AdrogueWLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Real PilarLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Brown DE AdrogueReal Pilar
21.8Attack37.9
65.5Defence64.4
35.6Form50.6
43.6Power53.6
0.50xG0.75
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