Brown DE Adroguevs
Liniers
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 Liniers, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Brown DE Adrogue 1-1 Liniers
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 33.9% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.6% | 36.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.0% | 29.5% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.85 · Draw 1.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Liniers
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Brown DE AdrogueLDLWD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
LiniersWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Brown DE AdrogueLiniers
20.8Attack25.0
64.6Defence66.7
33.3Form36.5
42.2Power45.4
0.47xG0.49