Brown DE AdroguevsExcursionistas

Brown DE Adrogue are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Excursionistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Excursionistas hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.7% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Excursionistas holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.