GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 10/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Brown DE Adrogue 0-0 Dock Sud, with an exact score probability of 32%.

Prediction record

Final result

Brown DE Adrogue 1-0 Dock Sud

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4337.0%29.7%-7.3 pts
Draw2.7033.2%36.7%3.5 pts
Away3.0129.8%33.6%3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Projected Score

Brown DE Adrogue 0–0 Dock Sud

Exact score probability: 32%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brown DE AdrogueDWDLD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Dock SudLWDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Brown DE AdrogueDock Sud
21.1Attack35.1
67.5Defence63.2
34.2Form41.2
43.2Power47.8
0.52xG0.64
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