Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Brown DE Adrogue

Brown DE Adrogue

Home
L
10
Full time
Argentino de Merlo

Argentino de Merlo

Away
LD
Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Brown DE Adrogue35%
Argentino de Merlo35%
Draw30%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Brown DE Adrogue
35%
Draw
30%
Argentino de Merlo
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Brown DE Adrogue
9
Argentino de Merlo
18
Defence
Brown DE Adrogue
66
Argentino de Merlo
66
Momentum
Brown DE Adrogue
0
Argentino de Merlo
17
Danger (xG)
Brown DE Adrogue
0.00
Argentino de Merlo
0.45
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Brown DE Adrogue)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Argentino de Merlo)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Brown DE Adrogue)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Argentino de Merlo)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue
LL
Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
LDWD

Probability breakdown

36% confidence
Brown DE Adrogue35%
Draw30%
Argentino de Merlo35%

Brown DE Adrogue leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Brown DE Adrogue head into this in Primera B Metropolitana fixture at Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla in mixed form (L), while Argentino de Merlo arrive in mixed form (LD). Brown DE Adrogue have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Argentino de Merlo over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Brown DE Adrogue (66/100) and Argentino de Merlo (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Brown DE Adrogue have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Argentino de Merlo have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Brown DE Adrogue and Argentino de Merlo in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Brown DE Adrogue to win with 36% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Brown DE Adrogue 3494%, Draw 3019%, Argentino de Merlo 3487%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Brown DE Adrogue

Brown DE Adrogue

L
vs Deportivo Laferrere
14 Jul 2026
01
L
@ Deportivo Camioneros
16 May 2026
01
Argentino de Merlo

Argentino de Merlo

L
@ Flandria
14 Jul 2026
01
D
@ Defensores Unidos
5 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Comunicaciones
28 Jun 2026
32
D
@ Villa San Carlos
16 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino de Merlo?

GoalVio's model predicts Brown DE Adrogue to win with 36% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino de Merlo?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino de Merlo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Brown DE Adrogue vs Argentino de Merlo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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