Brothers Unionvs
Fortis
COMPLETEDBangladesh · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brothers Union 0-6 Fortis
Original prediction
Fortis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.82 | 7.2% | 25.0% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 16.1% | 24.2% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 76.6% | 50.8% | -25.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Fortis
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Fortis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00