Brothers Unionvs
Fakirerpool
COMPLETEDBangladesh · Federation Cup · 10/13/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brothers Union · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brothers Union 4-1 Fakirerpool
Original prediction
Brothers Union
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 12:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.6% | 41.8% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.3% | 26.9% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 26.1% | 31.2% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Brothers Union
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Brothers Union has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00