Brothers Unionvs
Abahani
COMPLETEDBangladesh · Premier League · 10/23/2026, 8:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Abahani · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brothers Union 2-1 Abahani
Original prediction
Abahani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.65 | 7.8% | 17.5% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.71 | 15.9% | 20.7% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 76.3% | 61.8% | -14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Abahani
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Abahani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60