GGOALVIO

USA · USL Super League · 9/28/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Brooklyn W are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Lexington W are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington W hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the USL Super League, while Lexington W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington W

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Lexington W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Brooklyn WWWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Lexington WLLLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.50/3.25

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
Brooklyn WLexington W
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
7.0Power97.0
0.96xG1.44
View match centre →