GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Brooklyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Brooklyn 4-1 Sporting JAX

Original prediction

Brooklyn

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6754.6%46.9%-7.7 pts
Draw4.0022.9%22.6%-0.3 pts
Away4.0522.5%30.5%8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Brooklyn

Probability

46.9%

Model confidence

46.9%

Brooklyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrooklynLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting JAXWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BrooklynSporting JAX
31.6Attack41.3
38.6Defence14.3
22.8Form17.5
33.1Power27.6
1.61xG1.37
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