GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Brooklyn 1-3 Rhode Island

Original prediction

Rhode Island

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.3021.3%20.3%-1.0 pts
Draw3.9023.5%24.2%0.7 pts
Away1.6655.2%55.5%0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–213%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrooklynLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rhode IslandWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrooklynRhode Island
33.3Attack48.0
33.3Defence62.7
23.1Form46.7
32.0Power52.8
0.75xG1.86
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