Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brooklyn · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brooklyn 1-1 Miami FC
Original prediction
Brooklyn
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.2% | 39.6% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.5% | 25.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.3% | 35.1% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Brooklyn
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Brooklyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrooklynLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Miami FCDLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrooklynMiami FC
34.9Attack39.1
39.7Defence40.6
25.4Form33.3
35.0Power40.0
1.31xG1.31