GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Louisville City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Brooklyn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Louisville City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (33.5 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Louisville City

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Louisville City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BrooklynLLLWW

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Louisville CityWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BrooklynLouisville City
33.3Attack60.0
37.0Defence43.3
24.1Form51.7
33.5Power53.6
1.14xG2.20
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