Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Tulsa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Brooklyn 0-1 FC Tulsa, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Brooklyn 2-2 FC Tulsa
Original prediction
FC Tulsa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.0% | 20.9% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 25.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.2% | 53.9% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.51 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Projected Score
Brooklyn 0–1 FC Tulsa
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FC Tulsa
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
FC Tulsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrooklynLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC TulsaLDWWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrooklynFC Tulsa
33.3Attack39.1
37.7Defence69.6
24.6Form52.2
33.7Power54.7
0.61xG1.42