Brooklynvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/21/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Birmingham Legion · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brooklyn 1-2 Birmingham Legion
Original prediction
Birmingham Legion
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.4% | 29.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 23.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.7% | 47.6% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Birmingham Legion
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Birmingham Legion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00