Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brondby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Brondby 5-2 Lyngby
Original prediction
Brondby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.6% | 49.0% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.8% | 25.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.12 | 22.6% | 25.9% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Brondby
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Brondby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BrondbyDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LyngbyLLDWW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BrondbyLyngby
44.4Attack37.0
44.4Defence40.7
48.1Form25.9
47.7Power36.7
1.77xG1.12