Bromsgrove Sportingvs
Stratford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bromsgrove Sporting 2-2 Stratford Town
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.0% | 77.1% | 17.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.8% | 14.4% | -8.4 pts |
| Away | 5.24 | 17.1% | 8.5% | -8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–014%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
77.1%
Model confidence
77.1%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60