Bromsgrove Sportingvs
Leamington
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 Leamington
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 58.9% | 70.3% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 17.5% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.4% | 12.2% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40