Bromsgrove Sportingvs
Kettering Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 Kettering Town
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.0% | 42.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 27.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.18 | 28.1% | 30.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60