Bromsgrove Sportingvs
Banbury United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 Banbury United, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 Banbury United
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.7% | 75.2% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.5% | 16.0% | -7.5 pts |
| Away | 6.03 | 14.8% | 8.8% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Projected Score
Bromsgrove Sporting 2–0 Banbury United
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
75.2%
Model confidence
75.2%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00