Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bjarg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Brodd are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bjarg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bjarg hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Bjarg holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bjarg
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Bjarg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00