Broadmeadow Magicvs
Wests APIA
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wests APIA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Broadmeadow Magic 0-0 Wests APIA
Original prediction
Wests APIA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.22 | 14.8% | 33.0% | 18.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.8% | 25.5% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 65.5% | 41.5% | -24.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wests APIA
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Wests APIA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00