GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/13/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

86.0%

Model confidence

86.0%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWLWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ValentineWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Broadmeadow MagicValentine
81.0Attack34.9
63.5Defence38.1
73.0Form39.7
71.8Power40.1
3.62xG0.66
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