GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/14/2024, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Valentine are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 31.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

86.0%

Model confidence

86.0%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Broadmeadow MagicValentine
81.0Attack34.9
63.5Defence38.1
73.0Form39.7
71.8Power40.1
3.62xG0.66
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