GGOALVIO

Australia · Australia Cup · 8/4/2023, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sydney United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sydney United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sydney United hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Australia Cup, while Sydney United holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sydney United

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Sydney United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWWWLL

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sydney UnitedWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicSydney United
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power48.3
1.75xG1.81
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