GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/10/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 48.2-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

90.6%

Model confidence

90.6%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Broadmeadow MagicNew Lambton
81.0Attack37.9
63.5Defence7.6
73.0Form18.2
71.8Power23.6
4.50xG0.68
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