GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/2/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maitland are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

65.1%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicLWWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Broadmeadow MagicMaitland
81.0Attack60.3
63.5Defence50.8
73.0Form61.9
71.8Power60.0
2.72xG1.20
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