GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/31/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Broadmeadow Magic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Broadmeadow Magic are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Broadmeadow Magic hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (71.8 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Broadmeadow Magic holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Broadmeadow Magic

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

71.9%

Broadmeadow Magic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Broadmeadow MagicWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Lambton JaffasWDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Broadmeadow MagicLambton Jaffas
81.0Attack57.1
63.5Defence47.6
73.0Form34.9
71.8Power46.2
3.03xG1.08
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